Calculator & whitepaper

New Business Calculator: What investment your revenue target actually requires

Most new business budgets are set at the level of internal political tolerance, not at the level the ambition requires. The Calculator gives you the number that changes that conversation. No business case needed.

Is your new business budget set to match your revenue target?

If your answer is "No", you are not alone. Until now there was no established methodology for connecting a new business revenue target to the investment it actually requires. So most budgets are negotiated, not calculated.

With the whataventure new business calculatore we changed that.
Enter your revenue goal and timeline, and the Calculator returns the Justified Investment for your ambition.

Your inputs are used only to run the calculation — nothing is stored or shared.

New Business Calculator — whataventure

New Business Calculator

What is your maximum justified new business building budget?

whataventure
Intro
1Goal
2EBITDA
3Ramp-up
4Discount Rate
5Present Value
6Success Rate
7Risk adj.
8Multiple
9Valuation
Result
New Business Calculator
How much investment is required to achieve your growth goals?
Many companies set ambitious new business revenue targets but fail to achieve them — not due to lack of talent or commitment, but because investment levels are fundamentally misaligned with those ambitions. The New Business Calculator addresses this critical gap by providing a structured, valuation-based approach to determine how much investment is realistically required to build new revenue streams.
Step 1
How much annual revenue do you want to achieve by when?
Enter your revenue target in millions and select your terminal year on the right.
Most portfolios are assessed at year 7–10.
Annual revenue goal (€M)?Define the annual revenue goal in millions of euros to be achieved by the Terminal Year.
Enter in millions of euros (e.g. 100 = €100M). To be meaningful, the annual revenue goal for new business building should be in the range of 10% of the company's total annual revenue.
Terminal year?Specify the year at which the success of the portfolio is assessed.
Step 2
What target EBITDA margin do you expect at scale?
Define the target EBITDA margin for your overall portfolio based on your industry benchmark and/or the type of business models you envision in your portfolio.
Target EBITDA margin?The target EBITDA margin from revenue once the portfolio reaches scale.
Enter as a percentage. Typical range: 10–30%.
Intermediate result
Revenue goal
by
Target EBITDA margin
What is Ramp-up?
For more details about the revenue ramp-up, see the Whitepaper.
Portfolio revenue & EBITDA ramp-up
Total Revenue Until Terminal Year
Total EBITDA Until Terminal Year
Step 4
What is the Discount Rate?
Since the revenue goal concerns future revenues and the investment will be required at an earlier time, we need to convert future revenues and EBITDAs into Present Value — so that we can compare like with like. We use the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) as the discount rate.
For more context on the Discount Rate, see the Whitepaper.
Discount Rate?The Discount Rate is the annual rate used to discount annual revenues and investments. The default value is set to 7.5%.
Enter as a percentage. Default: 7.5% (from averaging WACC across Industries).
Intermediate result — Present Value
Total Present Value (PV) Revenue
Total Present Value (PV) EBITDA
These are the cumulative revenues and EBITDAs across all years until the Terminal Year, discounted to today using the Discount Rate set in the last step.
Present Value Adjustment
RevenueEBITDA
Before Present Value Adjustment
After Present Value Adjustment
Step 6
Portfolio Success Rate
The Portfolio Success Rate is the likelihood that the portfolio as a whole will achieve the revenue goal projections.
By default, the Portfolio Success Rate is set to 61%. This is based on a McKinsey study that 61% of corporate ventures exceed $10M in revenue within 5 years — marking them as being on the path to success.
Portfolio Success Rate?The likelihood that the portfolio will achieve the revenue goal projections. Applies to the portfolio as a whole — not to individual projects.
Enter as a percentage. Default: 61% (McKinsey). Sensible range: 50–66%.
Intermediate result — Risk-adjusted
The Present Value Revenue and the Present Value EBITDA are adjusted by the Portfolio Success Rate, by multiplying them with the Success Rate.
Risk-adjustment (× Portfolio Success Rate)
Present Value RevenuePresent Value EBITDA
Before risk adjustment
After risk adjustment
Step 8
What is the Multiple for your portfolio?
The Multiple is the ratio used to evaluate the value of the portfolio at the Terminal Year. We use the EBITDA multiple because it is one of the most common valuation yardsticks in M&A.
By default, the Calculator uses Damodaran (NYU Stern) industry multiples for a global company set — a widely used, transparent dataset updated regularly.
Industry?While a list of industry-specific multiples is available, the default is set to the average across all industries to help balance out outliers.
Selecting the Industry automatically sets the Multiple. The Multiple can also be manually set below.
Multiple (EV/EBITDA)?The ratio used to evaluate the portfolio's value at the Terminal Year. A Multiple of 10–20 is recommended.
Default: 14.74× (Total Market, Damodaran). Recommended range: 10–20×.
Intermediate result — Valuation
The Risk-Adjusted Present Value EBITDA from the last step, , captures the value of the revenues the portfolio generates until the Terminal Year. In order to account for the total value of the portfolio at the Terminal Year, the forward looking value of the portfolio needs to be added to this number.
The value of the portfolio going forward from the Terminal Year is calculated by:
  1. Multiplying the EBITDA of the terminal year with the Multiple
  2. Discounting it for Present Value
  3. Adjusting by the Portfolio Success Rate
The Adjusted Terminal Value is .
Total Present Value
Present Value from ramp-up
?This is the total EBITDA achieved through the ramp-up until the terminal year.
+ Present Value of terminal value
?This is the portfolio valuation looking forward based on the annual revenue at the terminal year.
Total Present Value
Total Present Value-Adjusted portfolio value at terminal year
Edit inputs
Revenue goal (€M)
Terminal year
Target EBITDA margin (%)
Discount rate / WACC (%)
Portfolio Success Rate (%)
Industry
Multiple (EV/EBITDA)
The Present-Value Adjusted Justified Investment assumes all investment takes place in the present. To capture the staged nature of a portfolio investment, the below breakdown shows the adjusted in-year investment values. For a more detailed discussion on investment phasing, see the Whitepaper.
Justified Investment Per Year
Total 5-year investment
Recommended investment range
0Too low
50% threshold
Justified Investment
Above
< 50%Probability of reaching revenue ambition decreases significantly.
50–100%High probability. The recommended range for most portfolios.
> 100%Can be justified by strategic value or strong growth after the terminal year.

Methodology based on Damodaran/NYU Stern industry multiples, McKinsey corporate venture data, and CalcMastery WACC benchmarks.

A realistic budget range

50 to 100% of the Justified Investment is the realistic budget range to hit your target. Below 50%, the probability of achieving the revenue goal drops significantly. Above 100% can still make sense, depending on your growth ambitions beyond year 10.
If the gap between your number and your current budget is large, the whitepaper explains exactly what your options are.

Based on M&A Methodology

When corporates buy a business, they pay a price derived from future earnings, discounted for time and risk. The Calculator applies that same logic to building: your revenue target becomes an implied enterprise value, adjusted for portfolio success rates and cost of capital. The result is what that revenue stream is worth to acquire. Which is what it should cost to build.

Insights from 50+ senior leaders across various industries

What is it about?

Who is it for?

Where the number comes from: The whitepaper enables you to explain it.

The whitepaper explains what drives the numbers you get from the calculator, where the thresholds sit, and what happens if you adjust the timeline instead of the budget.

M&A methodology applied to building

When a corporate acquires a business, it pays a price based on future earnings, discounted for time and risk. The Calculator applies that same logic in reverse: your revenue target implies an EBITDA, that EBITDA implies an enterprise value, and that enterprise value, adjusted for portfolio success rates and cost of capital, becomes your justified investment ceiling.

Halving the timeline roughly doubles the required investment

Reaching €50M in revenue in 5 years requires roughly twice the investment of reaching the same target in 10. Not because the ambition is bigger, but because faster scaling demands earlier capability build-up, stronger teams, and heavier go-to-market spending. The timeline is a budget variable, not just a planning assumption.

Underfunding is not the conservative choice

Below 50% of the M&A Justified Investment, the probability of hitting the revenue target drops significantly. That is not an opinion, it is the output of the same valuation logic. A smaller budget does not reduce the risk of the initiative. It concentrates it, while the ambition and the team pressure remain unchanged.

M&A methodology applied to building

When a corporate acquires a business, it pays a price based on future earnings, discounted for time and risk. The Calculator applies that same logic in reverse: your revenue target implies an EBITDA, that EBITDA implies an enterprise value, and that enterprise value, adjusted for portfolio success rates and cost of capital, becomes your justified investment ceiling.

Halving the timeline roughly doubles the required investment

Reaching €50M in revenue in 5 years requires roughly twice the investment of reaching the same target in 10. Not because the ambition is bigger, but because faster scaling demands earlier capability build-up, stronger teams, and heavier go-to-market spending. The timeline is a budget variable, not just a planning assumption.

Underfunding is not the conservative choice

Below 50% of the M&A Justified Investment, the probability of hitting the revenue target drops significantly. That is not an opinion, it is the output of the same valuation logic. A smaller budget does not reduce the risk of the initiative. It concentrates it, while the ambition and the team pressure remain unchanged.

What you take away from the whitepaper

  • How the M&A valuation methodology translates a revenue target into a justified investment number
  • What the five calculation steps are, and which assumptions have the biggest effect on the result
  • Why the Portfolio Success Rate and EBITDA multiple matter more than the discount rate in most scenarios
  • What your options are if the gap between your budget and the M&A Justified Investment is large
  • How adjusting the timeline (not the ambition) changes the investment pressure significantly
  • Register for early access now

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    The methodology behind the Calculator, explained in full.

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    Key numbers

    77%

    of participants cite revenue stream diversification as a primary reason for engaging in venture building

    85%

    of participants use revenue generation to measure the success of their venture building activities

    67%

    of participants say the venture building budget has either remained stable or increased over the past 12 months

    59%

    of participants believe venture building will significantly contribute to their company's growth and stability over the next 5 years

    The expertise behind this publication

    Philippe Thiltges

    Mitbegründer & CEO

    Philippe hat die Innovationslandschaft in Österreich und Deutschland in den letzten zehn Jahren maßgeblich geprägt. Sein ausgeprägtes unternehmerisches Denken hat die Gründung und das Wachstum von 150 neuen Unternehmensprojekten unterstützt. Philippe war an Projekten mit einer Finanzierung von mehr als 100 Millionen Euro beteiligt.

    Salome Riemann

    Lead Venture Architect

    Salome ist zweifache Bootstrap-Gründerin und erfahrene Startup-Führungskraft mit Fokus auf B2B Venture Building, Venture Clienting und Skalierung von neuen Geschäftsideen.Als Generalistin mit zwei Juraabschlüssen und App-Coding-Erfahrung wechselt sie schnell zwischen Kontexten und vereint Konzern- und Startup-Erfahrung in Branchen von Luftfahrt bis SaaS- und Plattform-Geschäftsmodellen. Sie vereint eine praxisnahe Denk- und Arbeitsweise mit hoher Empathie für Kunden und Endnutzer.‍